Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.025297 0.027915 0.030507 0.033259 0.036093 0.038921 0.041951
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.019535 0.023698 0.027943 0.032564 0.037427 0.042370 0.047753
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.015744 0.020898 0.026295 0.032291 0.038705 0.045311 0.052584
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.013291 0.019186 0.025507 0.032647 0.040381 0.048423 0.057347
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.010594 0.016928 0.023905 0.031927 0.040726 0.049960 0.060280
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.008728 0.015427 0.022999 0.031839 0.041637 0.051995 0.063635
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.006988 0.013909 0.021956 0.031499 0.042184 0.053557 0.066404
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.005395 0.012410 0.020833 0.030986 0.042467 0.054770 0.068733
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.003632 0.010475 0.019078 0.029664 0.041781 0.054866 0.069798
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.003088 0.010135 0.019209 0.030485 0.043461 0.057521 0.073604
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002303 0.009336 0.018722 0.030544 0.044249 0.059165 0.076280
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001339 0.008058 0.017559 0.029758 0.044039 0.059673 0.077683
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000550 0.006871 0.016563 0.029287 0.044343 0.060928 0.080111
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000031 0.005646 0.015460 0.028688 0.044528 0.062093 0.082497
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.004718 0.014678 0.028438 0.045088 0.063655 0.085300
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.004180 0.014398 0.028780 0.046313 0.065939 0.088875
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.003200 0.013343 0.028092 0.046287 0.066780 0.090820
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.002593 0.012790 0.028008 0.046949 0.068377 0.093580
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.001954 0.012081 0.027683 0.047296 0.069591 0.095891
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.001337 0.011279 0.027192 0.047416 0.070525 0.097866
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000599 0.009953 0.025930 0.046567 0.070317 0.098538
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000522 0.010122 0.026713 0.048200 0.072958 0.102394
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000292 0.009784 0.026770 0.048929 0.074541 0.105048